Update, evening of April 20, 2026: USGS HVO has raised the Kīlauea alert level from ADVISORY/YELLOW to WATCH/ORANGE. Sustained fountaining is likely within hours to days.
Kīlauea is waking up again. Precursory low-level activity for Episode 45 of the ongoing Halemaʻumaʻu eruption began around 7:46 p.m. HST on April 20, 2026, with several lava overflows from the north vent — the classic opening move before sustained fountaining. The USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory had a forecast window of April 21 to 26 for the next fountaining event, and the summit has been telegraphing the signal all week: since Episode 44 ended on April 9, the Uēkahuna tiltmeter has tracked roughly 14.9 microradians of inflationary tilt, with steady glow from the south vent overnight and intermittent glow at the north vent.
If you are on the Big Island right now or arriving in the next few days, this is the window. The pattern from Episodes 43 and 44 has been remarkably consistent: precursory overflows, then within hours to a couple of days, full lava fountaining from one or both vents inside Halemaʻumaʻu.
